📊 Technical Analysis – August Live Cattle 📉
Short-term technical momentum is also robust, with Stochastic %K at 92.26% and the 20-day Raw Stochastic and %D values hovering above 95%, all signaling that the contract is in overbought territory...📉
Technical Overview – Live Cattle August '25
Live Cattle futures for August '25 closed at $211.600, gaining $2.025 (+0.97%) on the day and reaching a new 52-week high at $212.225. The contract has added $2.525 (+1.21%) over the past five trading sessions, and its strong upward trend is confirmed by the 20-day moving average of $204.538, well below the current price. The Weighted Alpha of +20.42 underscores a solid year-over-year gain, reflecting persistent bullish sentiment in the market. Momentum remains strong as the MACD oscillator reads +5.854, supporting the current trend’s strength and indicating continued upside potential if market fundamentals remain favorable.
Stochastic and RSI Indicators
Short-term technical momentum is also robust, with Stochastic %K at 92.26% and the 20-day Raw Stochastic and %D values hovering above 95%, all signaling that the contract is in overbought territory. While this may prompt some caution for near-term pullbacks or profit-taking, it more commonly confirms the strength of the current trend—especially in combination with increasing volume and rising open interest. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 67.81%, just below the overbought threshold of 70, which reinforces the idea of a strong uptrend but not yet at a level that typically suggests an immediate reversal.
Volatility, Participation, and Support Levels
Volume surged to 30,999 contracts on Monday, significantly exceeding the 20-day average volume of 17,595, suggesting growing trader participation and confidence in the bullish move. Open interest rose to 110,268, another signal of sustained engagement from market participants. The Average True Range (ATR) of 2.591 and 20-day historic volatility at 8.49% indicate moderate but expanding price variability, which traders might monitor for signs of breakout acceleration or reversal setups. With technical support now rising toward the $208–$209 range and resistance being tested near $212, any sustained move above this level could trigger a fresh leg higher. Conversely, if prices retreat, watch for consolidation near the 20-day average around $204.50.
Technical Overview – Live Cattle August '25
Live Cattle futures for August '25 closed at $211.600, gaining $2.025 (+0.97%) on the day and reaching a new 52-week high at $212.225. The contract has added $2.525 (+1.21%) over the past five trading sessions, and its strong upward trend is confirmed by the 20-day moving average of $204.538, well below the current price. The Weighted Alpha of +20.42 underscores a solid year-over-year gain, reflecting persistent bullish sentiment in the market. Momentum remains strong as the MACD oscillator reads +5.854, supporting the current trend’s strength and indicating continued upside potential if market fundamentals remain favorable.
Stochastic and RSI Indicators
Short-term technical momentum is also robust, with Stochastic %K at 92.26% and the 20-day Raw Stochastic and %D values hovering above 95%, all signaling that the contract is in overbought territory. While this may prompt some caution for near-term pullbacks or profit-taking, it more commonly confirms the strength of the current trend—especially in combination with increasing volume and rising open interest. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 67.81%, just below the overbought threshold of 70, which reinforces the idea of a strong uptrend but not yet at a level that typically suggests an immediate reversal.
Volatility, Participation, and Support Levels
Volume surged to 30,999 contracts on Monday, significantly exceeding the 20-day average volume of 17,595, suggesting growing trader participation and confidence in the bullish move. Open interest rose to 110,268, another signal of sustained engagement from market participants. The Average True Range (ATR) of 2.591 and 20-day historic volatility at 8.49% indicate moderate but expanding price variability, which traders might monitor for signs of breakout acceleration or reversal setups. With technical support now rising toward the $208–$209 range and resistance being tested near $212, any sustained move above this level could trigger a fresh leg higher. Conversely, if prices retreat, watch for consolidation near the 20-day average around $204.50.
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