📊 Technical Analysis – August Live Cattle 📉
Volatility metrics suggest a stable yet potentially breakout-prone setup. The 20-day average true range (ATR) sits at 3.062, reflecting moderate price swings and room for daily volatility to expand without dislodging trend support...📉
Technical Analysis: August 2025 Live Cattle (LEQ25)
Live Cattle futures for August 2025 climbed to $214.050 on Thursday, gaining $1.600 (+0.75%) as bullish momentum continued to firm. The contract has advanced $4.85 over the past five sessions (+2.32%), with recent strength pushing it closer to its 52-week high of $220.050. Thursday’s high of $214.525 tested key near-term resistance, suggesting follow-through buying interest. The uptick in volume to 26,882 and a stable open interest of 141,971 indicate solid participation and growing conviction among traders. With prices now trading just above the 20-day moving average of $213.490, short-term technical control is shifting in favor of the bulls.
However, momentum indicators paint a more cautious picture. The 20-day MACD oscillator remains negative at -1.073, suggesting the longer trend is still recovering from previous weakness. Meanwhile, the 20-day RSI stands at 55.67%, indicating neutral to slightly bullish strength without being overbought. Stochastic indicators are similarly balanced, with %K at 38.19% and %D at 38.64%, offering no immediate signal of either exhaustion or renewed buying pressure. The 20-day %R reading at 48.58% further supports a middle-of-the-range stance, reinforcing that the current rally, while encouraging, may still face technical consolidation ahead.
Volatility metrics suggest a stable yet potentially breakout-prone setup. The 20-day average true range (ATR) sits at 3.062, reflecting moderate price swings and room for daily volatility to expand without dislodging trend support. The contract’s standard deviation of +0.66 and 20-day historical volatility at 18.05% highlight measured but building movement. While bulls have regained some short-term leverage, sustained closes above $215 would be required to confirm a renewed uptrend and potentially retest the contract highs. Until then, traders should expect choppy trade within a tightening range, with technical indicators suggesting a cautiously optimistic but unconfirmed breakout scenario.
Technical Analysis: August 2025 Live Cattle (LEQ25)
Live Cattle futures for August 2025 climbed to $214.050 on Thursday, gaining $1.600 (+0.75%) as bullish momentum continued to firm. The contract has advanced $4.85 over the past five sessions (+2.32%), with recent strength pushing it closer to its 52-week high of $220.050. Thursday’s high of $214.525 tested key near-term resistance, suggesting follow-through buying interest. The uptick in volume to 26,882 and a stable open interest of 141,971 indicate solid participation and growing conviction among traders. With prices now trading just above the 20-day moving average of $213.490, short-term technical control is shifting in favor of the bulls.
However, momentum indicators paint a more cautious picture. The 20-day MACD oscillator remains negative at -1.073, suggesting the longer trend is still recovering from previous weakness. Meanwhile, the 20-day RSI stands at 55.67%, indicating neutral to slightly bullish strength without being overbought. Stochastic indicators are similarly balanced, with %K at 38.19% and %D at 38.64%, offering no immediate signal of either exhaustion or renewed buying pressure. The 20-day %R reading at 48.58% further supports a middle-of-the-range stance, reinforcing that the current rally, while encouraging, may still face technical consolidation ahead.
Volatility metrics suggest a stable yet potentially breakout-prone setup. The 20-day average true range (ATR) sits at 3.062, reflecting moderate price swings and room for daily volatility to expand without dislodging trend support. The contract’s standard deviation of +0.66 and 20-day historical volatility at 18.05% highlight measured but building movement. While bulls have regained some short-term leverage, sustained closes above $215 would be required to confirm a renewed uptrend and potentially retest the contract highs. Until then, traders should expect choppy trade within a tightening range, with technical indicators suggesting a cautiously optimistic but unconfirmed breakout scenario.
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